Stock Analysis

We Think IQE (LON:IQE) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

AIM:IQE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that IQE plc (LON:IQE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for IQE

What Is IQE's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that IQE had debt of UK£7.90m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from UK£26.8m over a year. On the flip side, it has UK£5.60m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£2.30m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:IQE Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024

A Look At IQE's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that IQE had liabilities of UK£56.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£47.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£5.60m as well as receivables valued at UK£38.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£59.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, IQE has a market capitalization of UK£347.7m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, IQE has a very light debt load indeed. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine IQE's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year IQE had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 31%, to UK£115m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did IQE's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost UK£24m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled UK£12m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example IQE has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether IQE is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.