Stock Analysis

Does WPP (LON:WPP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

LSE:WPP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies WPP plc (LON:WPP) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for WPP

How Much Debt Does WPP Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 WPP had UK£13.6b of debt, an increase on UK£12.8b, over one year. However, it also had UK£12.9b in cash, and so its net debt is UK£695.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:WPP Debt to Equity History June 24th 2021

How Strong Is WPP's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, WPP had liabilities of UK£23.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£7.89b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£12.9b as well as receivables valued at UK£10.9b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£7.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of UK£11.7b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WPP's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year WPP had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 9.3%, to UK£12b. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months WPP produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable UK£2.3b at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of UK£3.0b into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with WPP (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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About LSE:WPP

WPP

A creative transformation company, provides communications, experience, commerce, and technology services in North America, the United Kingdom, Western Continental Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, and Central and Eastern Europe.

6 star dividend payer and undervalued.