Stock Analysis

Informa (LON:INF) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

LSE:INF
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Informa plc (LON:INF) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Informa

How Much Debt Does Informa Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Informa had debt of UK£2.06b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from UK£2.56b over a year. On the flip side, it has UK£412.4m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£1.65b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:INF Debt to Equity History December 16th 2021

How Strong Is Informa's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Informa had liabilities of UK£1.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£2.80b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£412.4m and UK£325.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£3.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Informa has a market capitalization of UK£7.17b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Informa's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Informa made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to UK£1.5b, which is a fall of 33%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Informa's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£66m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£117m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. For riskier companies like Informa I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.