Stock Analysis

Ibstock (LON:IBST) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

LSE:IBST
Source: Shutterstock

If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. In light of that, from a first glance at Ibstock (LON:IBST), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Ibstock, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.03 = UK£17m ÷ (UK£680m - UK£98m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

So, Ibstock has an ROCE of 3.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Basic Materials industry average of 7.4%.

See our latest analysis for Ibstock

roce
LSE:IBST Return on Capital Employed April 13th 2021

In the above chart we have measured Ibstock's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Ibstock.

So How Is Ibstock's ROCE Trending?

In terms of Ibstock's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 13% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Ibstock becoming one if things continue as they have.

The Bottom Line On Ibstock's ROCE

In summary, it's unfortunate that Ibstock is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 42% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

While Ibstock doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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