Fresnillo plc

LSE:FRES Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£22.6b

Fresnillo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Fresnillo is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.7% and 12% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.2% in 3 years.

Key information

15.7%

Earnings growth rate

-4.52%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth17.7%
Revenue growth rate12.0%
Future return on equity35.19%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Jan 16
Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

These 4 Measures Indicate That Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Using Debt Safely

Dec 23
These 4 Measures Indicate That Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Using Debt Safely

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Dec 02
Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Here's Why We Think Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Well Worth Watching

Nov 20
Here's Why We Think Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Well Worth Watching

Is Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 18
Is Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Using Too Much Debt?

After Leaping 26% Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Aug 28
After Leaping 26% Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Presents An Opportunity

Aug 06
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Presents An Opportunity

There's Reason For Concern Over Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Massive 37% Price Jump

Jun 20
There's Reason For Concern Over Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Massive 37% Price Jump

There Could Be A Chance Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) CEO Will Have Their Compensation Increased

May 13
There Could Be A Chance Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) CEO Will Have Their Compensation Increased

Some May Be Optimistic About Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Earnings

Apr 17
Some May Be Optimistic About Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Earnings

Returns At Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Are On The Way Up

Apr 15
Returns At Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Are On The Way Up

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Mar 28
Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Mar 24
Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
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Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Operational discipline and infrastructure improvements are set to enhance production efficiency, lower costs, and potentially boost future net margins and earnings.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:FRES - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,6432,4702,7053,2074
12/31/20276,6582,4883,4433,15510
12/31/20266,9512,7181,6092,9809
12/31/20254,5611,3841,8902,290N/A
9/30/20254,2539201,7362,115N/A
6/30/20253,9444561,5821,940N/A
3/31/20253,7202981,2561,620N/A
12/31/20243,4961419291,300N/A
9/30/20243,173194562960N/A
6/30/20242,850248194620N/A
3/31/20242,77824168523N/A
12/31/20232,705234-57426N/A
9/30/20232,611227-133369N/A
6/30/20232,517219-208313N/A
3/31/20232,475246-149407N/A
12/31/20222,433272-90502N/A
9/30/20222,46425427640N/A
6/30/20222,495236144778N/A
3/31/20222,599329224837N/A
12/31/20212,703421303895N/A
9/30/20212,773516412951N/A
6/30/20212,8436125201,007N/A
3/31/20212,636493513962N/A
12/31/20202,430374505918N/A
9/30/20202,301286352804N/A
6/30/20202,172198198691N/A
3/31/20202,14620137563N/A
12/31/20192,120204-123436N/A
9/30/20192,055197N/A413N/A
6/30/20191,991190N/A389N/A
3/31/20192,047270N/A489N/A
12/31/20182,104350N/A588N/A
9/30/20182,158416N/A681N/A
6/30/20182,213482N/A774N/A
3/31/20182,153521N/A768N/A
12/31/20172,093561N/A761N/A
9/30/20172,054565N/A803N/A
6/30/20172,014569N/A844N/A
3/31/20171,960498N/A871N/A
12/31/20161,906427N/A898N/A
9/30/20161,742294N/A793N/A
6/30/20161,579161N/A687N/A
3/31/20161,512116N/A615N/A
12/31/20151,44471N/A543N/A
9/30/20151,46763N/A387N/A
6/30/20151,48955N/A230N/A
3/31/20151,45182N/A176N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FRES's forecast earnings growth (15.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.2%).

Earnings vs Market: FRES's earnings (15.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FRES's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FRES's revenue (12% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FRES's revenue (12% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FRES's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/23 07:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/20 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fresnillo plc is covered by 27 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Richard HatchBerenberg