Stock Analysis

A great week that adds to Centamin plc's (LON:CEY) one-year returns, institutional investors who own 57% must be happy

LSE:CEY
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Every investor in Centamin plc (LON:CEY) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 57% to be precise, is institutions. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And last week, institutional investors ended up benefitting the most after the company hit UK£1.0b in market cap. One-year return to shareholders is currently 0.4% and last week’s gain was the icing on the cake.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Centamin.

Our analysis indicates that CEY is potentially undervalued!

ownership-breakdown
LSE:CEY Ownership Breakdown October 23rd 2022

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Centamin?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Centamin. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Centamin's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:CEY Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2022

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Centamin is not owned by hedge funds. Van Eck Associates Corporation is currently the company's largest shareholder with 10.0% of shares outstanding. With 5.2% and 5.0% of the shares outstanding respectively, BlackRock, Inc. and Schroder Investment Management Limited are the second and third largest shareholders.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 20 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Centamin

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of Centamin plc. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own UK£3.6m worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. Arguably, recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 43% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Centamin better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Centamin (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.