Stock Analysis

Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Published
AIM:GGP

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Greatland Gold plc (LON:GGP) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Greatland Gold

What Is Greatland Gold's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Greatland Gold had debt of UK£41.1m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from UK£43.5m over a year. However, it also had UK£12.7m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£28.5m.

AIM:GGP Debt to Equity History June 29th 2024

How Strong Is Greatland Gold's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Greatland Gold had liabilities of UK£4.60m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£43.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had UK£12.7m in cash and UK£60.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£35.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Greatland Gold has a market capitalization of UK£356.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Greatland Gold can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Greatland Gold finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Greatland Gold had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£13m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£29m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Greatland Gold is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.