Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving INSPECS Group plc's (LON:SPEC) 29% Price Drop

INSPECS Group plc (LON:SPEC) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, INSPECS Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Medical Equipment industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for INSPECS Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:SPEC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2024
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How INSPECS Group Has Been Performing

INSPECS Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think INSPECS Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, INSPECS Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.9%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 73% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.1% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 151%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that INSPECS Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does INSPECS Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, INSPECS Group's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of INSPECS Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for INSPECS Group that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:SPEC

INSPECS Group

Designs, produces, sells, markets, and distributes fashion eyewear, lenses, and OEM products in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Australia.

Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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