Stock Analysis

Is Harbour Energy (LON:HBR) Using Too Much Debt?

LSE:HBR
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Harbour Energy plc (LON:HBR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Harbour Energy's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 Harbour Energy had debt of US$5.23b, up from US$509.0m in one year. However, it also had US$830.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$4.40b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:HBR Debt to Equity History April 1st 2025

A Look At Harbour Energy's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Harbour Energy had liabilities of US$5.61b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$18.5b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$830.0m and US$1.51b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$21.7b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$4.57b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Harbour Energy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

Check out our latest analysis for Harbour Energy

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Harbour Energy has net debt of just 1.2 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.1 times the interest expense over the last year. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Harbour Energy has boosted its EBIT by 73%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Harbour Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Harbour Energy recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Harbour Energy's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Harbour Energy's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Harbour Energy that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Harbour Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:HBR

Harbour Energy

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Norway, the United Kingdom, Germany, Mexico, Argentina, North Africa, and Southeast Asia.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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