Stock Analysis

Investors Give United Oil & Gas Plc (LON:UOG) Shares A 29% Hiding

AIM:UOG
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, United Oil & Gas Plc (LON:UOG) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 69% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, United Oil & Gas may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for United Oil & Gas

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:UOG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024

What Does United Oil & Gas' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at United Oil & Gas over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on United Oil & Gas' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For United Oil & Gas?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as United Oil & Gas' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 3.0% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that United Oil & Gas' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does United Oil & Gas' P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of United Oil & Gas' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of United Oil & Gas revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - United Oil & Gas has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of United Oil & Gas' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether United Oil & Gas is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.