Hargreaves Services Plc's (LON:HSP) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to £0.185 on 8th of April. The payment will take the dividend yield to 5.8%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Hargreaves Services
Hargreaves Services' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, Hargreaves Services' dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 109% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 29.6%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 64%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from £0.255 total annually to £0.37. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.8% a year over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Hargreaves Services has grown earnings per share at 72% per year over the past five years. Fast growing earnings are great, but this can rarely be sustained without some reinvestment into the business, which Hargreaves Services hasn't been doing.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Hargreaves Services will make a great income stock. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Hargreaves Services that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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