Stock Analysis

London Stock Exchange Group's (LON:LSEG) 12% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

LSE:LSEG
Source: Shutterstock

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the London Stock Exchange Group plc (LON:LSEG) share price is up 63% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 27% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 32% in the last year, including dividends.

Since the stock has added UK£2.9b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

See our latest analysis for London Stock Exchange Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, London Stock Exchange Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 1.6% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 10% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 91.69.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
LSE:LSEG Earnings Per Share Growth March 3rd 2025

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of London Stock Exchange Group, it has a TSR of 73% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that London Stock Exchange Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand London Stock Exchange Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for London Stock Exchange Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: London Stock Exchange Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:LSEG

London Stock Exchange Group

Operates as a financial markets infrastructure and data provider primarily in the United Kingdom and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.