Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pearson plc's (LON:PSON) Price

LSE:PSON
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When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider Pearson plc (LON:PSON) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 18.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Pearson certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Pearson

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:PSON Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Pearson's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Pearson's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 62%. The latest three year period has also seen a 28% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Pearson is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Pearson's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Pearson currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Pearson that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Pearson. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pearson is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.