Stock Analysis

James Halstead (LON:JHD) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

AIM:JHD
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So while James Halstead (LON:JHD) has a high ROCE right now, lets see what we can decipher from how returns are changing.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for James Halstead, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.28 = UK£45m ÷ (UK£218m - UK£61m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

Thus, James Halstead has an ROCE of 28%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 6.2% earned by companies in a similar industry.

Check out our latest analysis for James Halstead

roce
AIM:JHD Return on Capital Employed June 26th 2021

Above you can see how the current ROCE for James Halstead compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering James Halstead here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

When we looked at the ROCE trend at James Halstead, we didn't gain much confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 41%, but they have dropped over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a side note, James Halstead has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 28% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line On James Halstead's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by James Halstead's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 50% over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

Like most companies, James Halstead does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

James Halstead is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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