Stock Analysis

Voltalia SA (EPA:VLTSA) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

It's been a pretty great week for Voltalia SA (EPA:VLTSA) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to €7.45 in the week since its latest yearly results. Revenues were €495m, with Voltalia reporting some 2.4% below analyst expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Voltalia

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:VLTSA Earnings and Revenue Growth April 6th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Voltalia's six analysts is for revenues of €567.9m in 2024. This would reflect a meaningful 15% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €589.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.25 in 2024. Overall, while there's been a minor downgrade to revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important following the latest results.

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €12.26. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Voltalia analyst has a price target of €21.80 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €6.60. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Voltalia's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 15% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 25% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Voltalia's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their revenue estimates for next year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for Voltalia from its six analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Voltalia has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTPA:VLTSA

Voltalia

Engages in the production and sale of energy generated by the wind, solar, hydropower, biomass, and storage plants.

Reasonable growth potential and fair value.

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