Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Voltalia SA (EPA:VLTSA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Voltalia
What Is Voltalia's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Voltalia had €1.33b of debt, an increase on €1.02b, over one year. However, it also had €383.6m in cash, and so its net debt is €947.0m.
How Healthy Is Voltalia's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Voltalia had liabilities of €609.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.09b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €383.6m in cash and €152.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €1.16b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €1.81b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Voltalia's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Voltalia shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.89 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Another concern for investors might be that Voltalia's EBIT fell 19% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Voltalia's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Voltalia burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Voltalia's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its EBIT growth rate fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Voltalia has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Voltalia (including 1 which is potentially serious) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:VLTSA
Voltalia
Engages in the production of electricity from renewable energy sources.
Acceptable track record with limited growth.