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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Groupe Tera SA's (EPA:ALGTR) Shares After Tumbling 27%
The Groupe Tera SA (EPA:ALGTR) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Groupe Tera is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.9x, considering almost half the companies in France's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Groupe Tera
What Does Groupe Tera's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Groupe Tera's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Groupe Tera, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Groupe Tera?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Groupe Tera's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 47% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Groupe Tera's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Despite the recent share price weakness, Groupe Tera's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Groupe Tera currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Groupe Tera (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:ALGTR
Groupe Tera
Engages in the analysis of chemical air pollutants in France and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.