Stock Analysis

Uniti S.A (EPA:ALUNT) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

ENXTPA:ALUNT
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Uniti S.A (EPA:ALUNT) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 50% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Uniti's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.4x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in France, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Uniti certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Uniti

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALUNT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Uniti's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Uniti?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Uniti's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 215% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Uniti's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Uniti's P/E?

There's still some solid strength behind Uniti's P/E, if not its share price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Uniti currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Uniti (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Uniti, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.