Stock Analysis

Will Weakness in Publicis Groupe S.A.'s (EPA:PUB) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

ENXTPA:PUB
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Publicis Groupe's (EPA:PUB) recent performance, when its stock has declined 19% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Publicis Groupe's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Publicis Groupe is:

15% = €1.7b ÷ €11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.15.

Check out our latest analysis for Publicis Groupe

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Publicis Groupe's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, Publicis Groupe's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 12% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Publicis Groupe was able to see a decent growth of 18% over the last five years.

We then performed a comparison between Publicis Groupe's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 16% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
ENXTPA:PUB Past Earnings Growth April 7th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Publicis Groupe fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Publicis Groupe Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In Publicis Groupe's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 7.4% (or a retention ratio of 93%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Publicis Groupe is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 49% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Publicis Groupe's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTPA:PUB

Publicis Groupe

Provides marketing, communications, and digital business transformation services in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East.

Very undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.