Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Biosynex SA's (EPA:ALBIO) 48% Share Price Plunge
Biosynex SA (EPA:ALBIO) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 48% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 85% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, Biosynex's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in France, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Biosynex
What Does Biosynex's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Biosynex over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Biosynex, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Biosynex would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.8%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 74% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Biosynex's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What Does Biosynex's P/S Mean For Investors?
Biosynex's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Medical Equipment companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Biosynex revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Biosynex you should be aware of, and 4 of them are significant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.