When close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in France have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Accor SA (EPA:AC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
See our latest analysis for Accor
What Does Accor's Recent Performance Look Like?
Accor certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Accor's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Accor?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Accor would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 58% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 61% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.4% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 6.0% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Accor's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Analysts are forecasting Accor's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Accor that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Accor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:AC
Average dividend payer and fair value.