Stock Analysis

Finnair Oyj's (HEL:FIA1S) Earnings Quality Is Low

HLSE:FIA1S
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The recent earnings release from Finnair Oyj (HEL:FIA1S ) was disappointing to investors. We think there is more to the story than simply soft profit numbers. Our analysis shows that there are some other factors of concern.

See our latest analysis for Finnair Oyj

earnings-and-revenue-history
HLSE:FIA1S Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Finnair Oyj issued 1,352% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Finnair Oyj's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Finnair Oyj's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Finnair Oyj was losing money three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we see profit is down 69%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 86% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

In the long term, if Finnair Oyj's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Finnair Oyj's profit was boosted by unusual items worth €21m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Finnair Oyj doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Finnair Oyj's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Finnair Oyj got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Finnair Oyj's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Finnair Oyj (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.