Stock Analysis

We Think Qt Group Oyj (HEL:QTCOM) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

HLSE:QTCOM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Qt Group Oyj (HEL:QTCOM) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Qt Group Oyj's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Qt Group Oyj had €29.1m of debt, an increase on €17.3m, over one year. However, it also had €26.8m in cash, and so its net debt is €2.23m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:QTCOM Debt to Equity History September 13th 2023

A Look At Qt Group Oyj's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qt Group Oyj had liabilities of €39.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of €51.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €26.8m as well as receivables valued at €57.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €6.65m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Having regard to Qt Group Oyj's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the €1.36b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Qt Group Oyj has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Qt Group Oyj has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.045 and EBIT of 12.8 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Qt Group Oyj has boosted its EBIT by 44%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qt Group Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Qt Group Oyj's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Qt Group Oyj's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Zooming out, Qt Group Oyj seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Qt Group Oyj is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.