Stock Analysis

Ilkka Oyj (HEL:ILKKA2) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.22

HLSE:ILKKA2
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Ilkka Oyj (HEL:ILKKA2) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 6th of May to €0.22. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 5.9%.

Ilkka Oyj's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. At the time of the last dividend payment, Ilkka Oyj was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 213% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 9.6% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 93% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
HLSE:ILKKA2 Historic Dividend March 27th 2025

View our latest analysis for Ilkka Oyj

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.10 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.22. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.2% a year over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Ilkka Oyj Could Grow Its Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Ilkka Oyj has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 9.6% per annum. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Ilkka Oyj will make a great income stock. In general, the distributions are a little bit higher than we would like, but we can't ignore the fact the quickly growing earnings gives this stock great potential in the future. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Ilkka Oyj (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.