Stock Analysis

We Think Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Metsä Board Oyj's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, Metsä Board Oyj had €664.2m of debt, up from €480.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €234.3m, its net debt is less, at about €429.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:METSB Debt to Equity History October 9th 2025

How Healthy Is Metsä Board Oyj's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Metsä Board Oyj had liabilities of €497.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €640.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €234.3m as well as receivables valued at €323.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €580.8m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Metsä Board Oyj is worth €1.07b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Metsä Board Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

View our latest analysis for Metsä Board Oyj

Over 12 months, Metsä Board Oyj saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Metsä Board Oyj had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €900k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled €123m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Metsä Board Oyj (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.