Stock Analysis

CapMan Oyj's (HEL:CAPMAN) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

HLSE:CAPMAN
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CapMan Oyj (HEL:CAPMAN) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to €0.06 on the 9th of April. This means that the dividend yield is 5.1%, which is a bit low when comparing to other companies in the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for CapMan Oyj

CapMan Oyj's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.

The next 12 months could see EPS growing very rapidly. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe we could see the payout ratio reaching 80%, which is definitely on the higher side, but still sustainable.

historic-dividend
HLSE:CAPMAN Historic Dividend March 28th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.04 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.10. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.6% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 33% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

We should note that CapMan Oyj has issued stock equal to 12% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

We're Not Big Fans Of CapMan Oyj's Dividend

To sum up, we don't like when dividends are cut, but in this case the dividend may have been too high to begin with. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for CapMan Oyj (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About HLSE:CAPMAN

CapMan Oyj

CapMan Oyj is a leading Nordic private assets management and investment firm with an active approach to value creation and private equity and venture capital firm specializing in growth capital investments, industry consolidation, turnaround, recapitalization, middle market buyouts, credit and mezzanine financing in unquoted companies, investments in value-add and income focused real estate, and investments in energy, transportation, and telecommunications infrastructure.

High growth potential and slightly overvalued.