Orthex Oyj Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Orthex Oyj (HEL:ORTHEX), which a week ago released some disappointing first-quarter results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with €21m revenue coming in 5.8% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €0.07 missed the mark badly, arriving some 26% below what was expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Orthex Oyj. Read for free now.

Following last week's earnings report, Orthex Oyj's three analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be €89.8m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 9.1% to €0.36. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €93.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.42 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a real cut to earnings per share numbers.

View our latest analysis for Orthex Oyj

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of €5.70, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Orthex Oyj's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Orthex Oyj analyst has a price target of €6.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €5.50. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Orthex Oyj is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Orthex Oyj's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 1.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.4% p.a. over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.5% per year. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, Orthex Oyj is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €5.70, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Orthex Oyj analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Orthex Oyj has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.