If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Consti Oyj (HEL:CONSTI), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Consti Oyj:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = €7.7m ÷ (€129m - €77m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
So, Consti Oyj has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Construction industry average of 11% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Consti Oyj
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Consti Oyj compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Consti Oyj here for free.
So How Is Consti Oyj's ROCE Trending?
Over the past five years, Consti Oyj's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Consti Oyj to be a multi-bagger going forward. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Consti Oyj has been paying out a decent 51% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 60% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than15% because total capital employed would be higher.The 15% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 60% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.
What We Can Learn From Consti Oyj's ROCE
In a nutshell, Consti Oyj has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 39% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Consti Oyj and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About HLSE:CONSTI
Consti Oyj
Provides renovation contracting and technical building services in Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.