To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Consti Oyj (HEL:CONSTI) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Consti Oyj:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.16 = €7.5m ÷ (€116m - €68m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
Thus, Consti Oyj has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.7% generated by the Construction industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Consti Oyj
In the above chart we have measured Consti Oyj's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Consti Oyj.
So How Is Consti Oyj's ROCE Trending?
There hasn't been much to report for Consti Oyj's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Consti Oyj in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Consti Oyj has been paying out a decent 52% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 59% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than16% because total capital employed would be higher.The 16% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 59% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. Additionally, this high level of current liabilities isn't ideal because it means the company's suppliers (or short-term creditors) are effectively funding a large portion of the business.
Our Take On Consti Oyj's ROCE
In a nutshell, Consti Oyj has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 23% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Consti Oyj, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Consti Oyj isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About HLSE:CONSTI
Consti Oyj
Provides renovation contracting and technical building services in Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.