Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Alisa Pankki Oyj (HEL:ALISA)

One thing we could say about the analysts on Alisa Pankki Oyj (HEL:ALISA) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

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Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the two analysts covering Alisa Pankki Oyj, is for revenues of €17m in 2025, which would reflect a substantial 49% reduction in Alisa Pankki Oyj's sales over the past 12 months. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €19m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.01 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a earnings per share numbers as well.

View our latest analysis for Alisa Pankki Oyj

The consensus price target fell 8.1% to €0.17, with the analysts clearly less optimistic about Alisa Pankki Oyj's valuation following this update.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 49% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 23% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.9% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Alisa Pankki Oyj is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Alisa Pankki Oyj. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Furthermore, there was a cut to the price target, suggesting that the latest news has led to more pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to this year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Alisa Pankki Oyj going forwards.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Alisa Pankki Oyj going out as far as 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.