Stock Analysis

Iberdrola (BME:IBE) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

BME:IBE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Iberdrola, S.A. (BME:IBE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Iberdrola

What Is Iberdrola's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Iberdrola had €52.1b of debt, up from €48.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has €8.63b in cash leading to net debt of about €43.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:IBE Debt to Equity History November 10th 2024

How Strong Is Iberdrola's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Iberdrola had liabilities of €30.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €62.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €8.63b and €10.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €73.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of €81.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Iberdrola's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Iberdrola has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.1 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Notably Iberdrola's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Iberdrola's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Iberdrola recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

While Iberdrola's net debt to EBITDA makes us cautious about it, its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities is no better. But its not so bad at covering its interest expense with its EBIT. It's also worth noting that Iberdrola is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Iberdrola's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Iberdrola has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.