If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So on that note, Indra Sistemas (BME:IDR) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Indra Sistemas, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = €266m ÷ (€4.2b - €1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, Indra Sistemas has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the IT industry average of 11%.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the ES IT industry.
In the above chart we have measured Indra Sistemas' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Indra Sistemas here for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Indra Sistemas Tell Us?
Indra Sistemas is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. Looking at the data, we can see that even though capital employed in the business has remained relatively flat, the ROCE generated has risen by 30% over the last five years. So our take on this is that the business has increased efficiencies to generate these higher returns, all the while not needing to make any additional investments. The company is doing well in that sense, and it's worth investigating what the management team has planned for long term growth prospects.
Another thing to note, Indra Sistemas has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 45%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
In Conclusion...
As discussed above, Indra Sistemas appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. And since the stock has fallen 31% over the last five years, there might be an opportunity here. With that in mind, we believe the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.
While Indra Sistemas looks impressive, no company is worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether IDR is currently trading for a fair price.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:IDR
Indra Sistemas
Operates as a technology and consulting company for aerospace, defense, and mobility business worldwide.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.