Stock Analysis

Agile Content, S.A.'s (BME:AGIL) Shares Bounce 31% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

BME:AGIL
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Agile Content, S.A. (BME:AGIL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 10.0% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in Spain's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Agile Content as an attractive investment with its 0.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Agile Content

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BME:AGIL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Agile Content's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Agile Content has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Agile Content's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Agile Content's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.6% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Agile Content's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Agile Content's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Agile Content's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Agile Content maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Agile Content has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Agile Content's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Agile Content is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.