Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Amadeus IT Group (BME:AMS) Leave Little Room For Excitement

BME:AMS
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Amadeus IT Group (BME:AMS) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Amadeus IT Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.17 = €1.5b ÷ (€12b - €2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Thus, Amadeus IT Group has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 7.5% it's much better.

View our latest analysis for Amadeus IT Group

roce
BME:AMS Return on Capital Employed June 9th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Amadeus IT Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Amadeus IT Group .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Over the past five years, Amadeus IT Group's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Amadeus IT Group in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Amadeus IT Group has been paying out a decent 48% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.

The Key Takeaway

We can conclude that in regards to Amadeus IT Group's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 2.2% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

Amadeus IT Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Amadeus IT Group that you might be interested in.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Amadeus IT Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.