Stock Analysis

Chr. Hansen Holding A/S' (CPH:CHR) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

CPSE:CHR
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Chr. Hansen Holding (CPH:CHR) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 9.9% over the last month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Chr. Hansen Holding's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Chr. Hansen Holding

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chr. Hansen Holding is:

13% = €221m ÷ €1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2022).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every DKK1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of DKK0.13.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Chr. Hansen Holding's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To start with, Chr. Hansen Holding's ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 14%. Despite this, Chr. Hansen Holding's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by12% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
CPSE:CHR Past Earnings Growth April 23rd 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Chr. Hansen Holding's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Chr. Hansen Holding Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Chr. Hansen Holding has a high three-year median payout ratio of 55% (or a retention ratio of 45%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Additionally, Chr. Hansen Holding has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 52% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Chr. Hansen Holding's future ROE will be 16% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Chr. Hansen Holding certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.