CPSE:ALMB

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

Alm. Brand A/S, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance, banking, and life and pension insurance products and services in Denmark.

Rewards

Trading at 46.3% below its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 8.93% per year

Risk Analysis

Unstable dividend track record



Snowflake Analysis

Average dividend payer and slightly overvalued.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Alm. Brand's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: ALMB has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

1.8%

ALMB

1.6%

DK Insurance

1.8%

DK Market


1 Year Return

11.7%

ALMB

18.6%

DK Insurance

23.0%

DK Market

Return vs Industry: ALMB underperformed the Danish Insurance industry which returned 18.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ALMB underperformed the Danish Market which returned 23% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

ALMBIndustryMarket
7 Day1.8%1.6%1.8%
30 Day2.8%-0.7%2.9%
90 Day6.4%3.9%9.2%
1 Year17.1%11.7%26.3%18.6%26.8%23.0%
3 Year31.3%9.6%38.1%17.8%57.4%44.0%
5 Year145.2%89.9%66.7%27.9%89.3%63.2%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Alm. Brand's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Alm. Brand undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

46.3%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: ALMB (DKK58.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK108.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALMB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: ALMB is poor value based on its PE Ratio (18.7x) compared to the Insurance industry average (12.3x).

PE vs Market: ALMB is poor value based on its PE Ratio (18.7x) compared to the Danish market (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: ALMB is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.1x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: ALMB is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2x) compared to the XE Insurance industry average (1.2x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Alm. Brand forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 2 analysts?

8.9%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALMB's forecast earnings growth (8.9% per year) is above the savings rate (-0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: ALMB's earnings (8.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Danish market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALMB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ALMB's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALMB's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.6% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALMB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.6%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Alm. Brand performed over the past 5 years?

8.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: ALMB has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ALMB's current net profit margins (6.2%) are lower than last year (7.1%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ALMB's earnings have grown by 8.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ALMB's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: ALMB had negative earnings growth (-20.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Insurance industry average (8.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: ALMB's Return on Equity (10.6%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Alm. Brand's financial position? (This company is analysed differently as a bank or financial institution)


Financial Position Analysis


Debt to Equity History and Analysis


Balance Sheet

Inventory Level: ALMB has a low level of unsold assets or inventory.

Debt Coverage by Assets: ALMB's debt is not covered by short term assets (assets are 0.7x debt).


Financial Institutions Analysis

Asset Level: ALMB's level of assets compared to its equity is low.

Allowance for Bad Loans: Insufficient data to determine if ALMB has a sufficient allowance for bad loans.

Low Risk Liabilities: ALMB reports no customer deposits, loans are made up entirely of externally borrowed funds.

Loan Level: Insufficient data to determine if ALMB has an acceptable proportion of non-loan assets held.

Low Risk Deposits: ALMB has advanced significantly more loans than the customer deposits it holds.

Level of Bad Loans: Insufficient data to determine if ALMB has an appropriate level of bad loans.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Alm. Brand's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

5.16%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

company5.2%marketbottom25%1.5%markettop25%5.0%industryaverage4.7%forecastin3Years5.2%

Current dividend yield vs market & industry

Notable Dividend: ALMB's dividend (5.16%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Danish market (1.52%).

High Dividend: ALMB's dividend (5.16%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the Danish market (5.02%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: ALMB has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: ALMB's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 5 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (48.2%), ALMB's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: ALMB's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be covered by earnings (70% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of Alm. Brand's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

0.5yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Rasmus Nielsen (50yo)

0.2yrs

Tenure

0

Mr. Rasmus Werner Nielsen has been a Member of the Management Board at Alm. Brand A/S since 2019. He serves as Vice Chairman of the Board at Alm. Brand Forsikring A/S and serves as its Acting Chief Executi ...


Management Age and Tenure

0.5yrs

Average Tenure

50yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: ALMB's management team is not considered experienced ( 0.5 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Age and Tenure

9.7yrs

Average Tenure

61.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: ALMB's board of directors are considered experienced (9.7 years average tenure).


Insider Trading

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Management Team

  • Bjarne Schønfeld

    Executive Vice President of Region Jylland Nord

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Henrik Gundorph (62yo)

    Director of Human Resources

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Lars Holm

    Head of Investor Relations

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Peter Flemmer (48yo)

    Senior Vice President of Non-life Insurance - Commercial

    • Tenure: 0.5yrs
  • Pia Steffensen (56yo)

    Senior Vice President of Non-life Insurance - Private

    • Tenure: 0.5yrs
  • Brian Olsen (55yo)

    Senior Vice Director of Claims Processing

    • Tenure: 13.7yrs
  • Rasmus Nielsen (50yo)

    Executive VP of Insurance Non-Life

    • Tenure: 0.2yrs
  • Tue Christensen (48yo)

    Director & Senior VP of Group Legal

    • Tenure: 2.8yrs
  • Andreas Madsen

    Chief Group Risk Officer & Acting CFO

    • Tenure: 0.2yrs
  • Kristjan Jørgensen (45yo)

    Chief Press & Communication Officer

    • Tenure: 0.9yrs

Board Members

  • Flemming Jørgensen (66yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 1.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø355.00k
  • Jørgen Mikkelsen (65yo)

    Chairman of the Board

    • Tenure: 10.9yrs
    • Compensation: ø1.07m
  • Boris Kjeldsen (60yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 16.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø450.00k
  • Per Hasling Frandsen (67yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 10.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø355.00k
  • Susanne Larsen (55yo)

    Employee Representative Director

    • Tenure: 13.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø275.00k
  • Anette Eberhard (58yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 4.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø610.00k
  • Ebbe Castella (69yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 6.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø450.00k
  • Helle Frederiksen (57yo)

    Employee Representative Director

    • Tenure: 9.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø275.00k
  • Jan Pedersen (63yo)

    Deputy Chairman of the Board

    • Tenure: 0yrs
    • Compensation: ø795.00k
  • Karen Hansen-Hoeck (54yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 6.7yrs
    • Compensation: ø275.00k

Company Information

Alm. Brand A/S's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Alm. Brand A/S
  • Ticker: ALMB
  • Exchange: CPSE
  • Founded: 1792
  • Industry: Property and Casualty Insurance
  • Sector: Insurance
  • Market Cap: ø9.956b
  • Shares outstanding: 170.77m
  • Website: https://www.almbrand.dk

Number of Employees


Location

  • Alm. Brand A/S
  • Midtermolen 7
  • Copenhagen
  • Capital Region of Denmark
  • 2100
  • Denmark

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
ALMBCPSE (OMX Nordic Exchange Copenhagen)YesRegistered SharesDKDKKJan 1992
0DJILSE (London Stock Exchange)YesRegistered SharesGBDKKJan 1992
ALMBCBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesRegistered SharesGBDKKJan 1992
1AMDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesRegistered SharesDEEURJan 1992

Biography

Alm. Brand A/S, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance, banking, and life and pension insurance products and services in Denmark. The company offers banking products and services to pr ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/12/11 20:45
End of Day Share Price2019/12/11 00:00
Earnings2019/09/30
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.