Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NNIT A/S' (CPH:NNIT) 27% Share Price Climb

CPSE:NNIT
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NNIT A/S (CPH:NNIT) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 49% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that NNIT's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare Services industry in Denmark, where the median P/S ratio is around 2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for NNIT

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CPSE:NNIT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 20th 2024

What Does NNIT's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

NNIT certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think NNIT's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like NNIT's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 147% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 46% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that NNIT's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From NNIT's P/S?

NNIT appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, NNIT's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for NNIT with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of NNIT's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NNIT is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.