Stock Analysis

Coloplast's (CPH:COLO B) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

CPSE:COLO B
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Coloplast A/S' (CPH:COLO B) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

See our latest analysis for Coloplast

earnings-and-revenue-history
CPSE:COLO B Earnings and Revenue History May 21st 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Coloplast issued 5.9% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Coloplast's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Coloplast's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Coloplast has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 15% in that time. And in the last year the company managed to bump profit up by 3.4%. Meanwhile, EPS was flat over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

If Coloplast's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Coloplast's Profit Performance

Coloplast shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Coloplast's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 11% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Coloplast is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Coloplast's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.