What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Fraport (ETR:FRA) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fraport:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.013 = €200m ÷ (€17b - €2.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
So, Fraport has an ROCE of 1.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 8.3%.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the XX Infrastructure industry.
In the above chart we have measured Fraport's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Fraport here for free.
So How Is Fraport's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Fraport, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 5.5%, but since then they've fallen to 1.3%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Fraport is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 47% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
If you'd like to know more about Fraport, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
While Fraport isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:FRA
Fraport
Owns and operates airports in Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Proven track record and fair value.
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