If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at ORBIS (ETR:OBS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for ORBIS:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.083 = €4.2m ÷ (€76m - €25m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, ORBIS has an ROCE of 8.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the IT industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for ORBIS
In the above chart we have measured ORBIS' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Does the ROCE Trend For ORBIS Tell Us?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at ORBIS. The company has employed 107% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 8.3%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
In Conclusion...
In conclusion, ORBIS has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 153% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you'd like to know more about ORBIS, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About XTRA:OBS
ORBIS
Provides software and business consultancy services to the automotive supplies, construction supplies, electrical and electronics, mechanical and plant engineering, logistics, metal, and consumer goods and trade industries in Germany and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.