Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over KPS AG's (ETR:KSC) P/S Ratio
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the IT industry in Germany, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about KPS AG's (ETR:KSC) P/S ratio of 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for KPS
What Does KPS' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, KPS' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on KPS will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like KPS' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 2.2% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.2% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 8.0% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that KPS is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does KPS' P/S Mean For Investors?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of KPS' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for KPS (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KPS might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KSC
KPS
Provides business transformation consulting and process optimization services in retail and consumer goods sectors in Germany, Scandinavia, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, Benelux, Spain, and internationally.
Undervalued moderate.