Stock Analysis

We Like Adler Group's (ETR:ADJ) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

Despite posting healthy earnings, Adler Group S.A.'s (ETR:ADJ ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there are some reasons for hope that investors should be aware of.

earnings-and-revenue-history
XTRA:ADJ Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2025

A Closer Look At Adler Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to June 2025, Adler Group recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of €1.02b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through €123m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of €123m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Adler Group's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

See our latest analysis for Adler Group

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Adler Group.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Unfortunately (in the short term) Adler Group saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth €650m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to June 2025, Adler Group had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Adler Group's Profit Performance

Adler Group saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Adler Group's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you want to do dive deeper into Adler Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for Adler Group (2 don't sit too well with us!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:ADJ

Adler Group

Engages in the purchase, development, and management of multi-family residential real estate properties in Germany.

Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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