Stock Analysis

Does ProSiebenSat.1 Media (ETR:PSM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

XTRA:PSM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (ETR:PSM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for ProSiebenSat.1 Media

What Is ProSiebenSat.1 Media's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that ProSiebenSat.1 Media had €2.44b of debt in September 2022, down from €2.59b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €704.0m, its net debt is less, at about €1.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:PSM Debt to Equity History December 12th 2022

How Healthy Is ProSiebenSat.1 Media's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ProSiebenSat.1 Media had liabilities of €1.36b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €3.02b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €704.0m in cash and €665.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.01b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €1.84b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, ProSiebenSat.1 Media would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that ProSiebenSat.1 Media's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 11.4 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Shareholders should be aware that ProSiebenSat.1 Media's EBIT was down 49% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ProSiebenSat.1 Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, ProSiebenSat.1 Media recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both ProSiebenSat.1 Media's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider ProSiebenSat.1 Media to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with ProSiebenSat.1 Media , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.