Stock Analysis

Grenke AG (ETR:GLJ) Stock's 29% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

XTRA:GLJ
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grenke AG (ETR:GLJ) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 17% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may still consider Grenke as an attractive investment with its 9.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent earnings growth for Grenke has been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Grenke

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:GLJ Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Grenke.

Is There Any Growth For Grenke?

Grenke's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.4%. EPS has also lifted 13% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Grenke's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

The softening of Grenke's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Grenke currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Grenke (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.