Oxford Industries Valuation

Is OXD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OXD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OXD (€75.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€123.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OXD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OXD?

Key metric: As OXD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OXD. This is calculated by dividing OXD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OXD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.5x
EarningsUS$29.73m
Market CapUS$1.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OXD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OXD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.9x
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.2x13.1%€2.6b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
11xn/a€264.5m
ADS adidas
104x38.1%€39.6b
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.5x9.2%€731.5m
OXD Oxford Industries
42.5x38.0%€1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OXD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the peer average (34.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OXD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OXD 42.5xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OXD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OXD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OXD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.5x
Fair PE Ratio29.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OXD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OXD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€75.50
€75.39
-0.1%
13.3%€87.34€59.76n/a4
Nov ’25€66.00
€75.39
+14.2%
13.3%€87.34€59.76n/a4
Oct ’25€75.50
€73.37
-2.8%
13.3%€85.00€58.16n/a4
Sep ’25€76.00
€98.45
+29.5%
9.8%€111.72€85.65n/a4
Aug ’25€96.00
€98.45
+2.6%
9.8%€111.72€85.65n/a4
Jul ’25€92.50
€98.45
+6.4%
9.8%€111.72€85.65n/a4
Jun ’25€98.50
€99.80
+1.3%
8.8%€111.92€87.67n/a4
May ’25€100.00
€99.80
-0.2%
8.8%€111.92€87.67n/a4
Apr ’25€103.00
€99.06
-3.8%
8.0%€111.72€87.51n/a5
Mar ’25€92.00
€98.94
+7.5%
11.6%€116.69€83.35n/a6
Feb ’25€88.00
€98.94
+12.4%
11.6%€116.69€83.35n/a6
Jan ’25€92.50
€98.94
+7.0%
11.6%€116.69€83.35n/a6
Dec ’24€82.50
€99.65
+20.8%
13.1%€118.48€82.03n/a6
Nov ’24€77.50
€106.14
+37.0%
10.7%€121.25€91.40€66.005
Oct ’24€91.50
€106.14
+16.0%
10.7%€121.25€91.40€75.505
Sep ’24€89.50
€105.64
+18.0%
10.7%€120.68€90.97€76.005
Aug ’24€98.00
€108.05
+10.3%
10.7%€123.40€92.32€96.005
Jul ’24€89.50
€108.05
+20.7%
10.7%€123.40€92.32€92.505
Jun ’24€90.00
€115.24
+28.0%
7.5%€124.46€101.41€98.504
May ’24€91.00
€115.24
+26.6%
7.5%€124.46€101.41€100.004
Apr ’24€94.50
€115.24
+21.9%
7.5%€124.46€101.41€103.004
Mar ’24€109.00
€115.24
+5.7%
7.5%€124.46€101.41€92.004
Feb ’24€106.00
€115.24
+8.7%
7.5%€124.46€101.41€88.004
Jan ’24€89.00
€115.57
+29.9%
7.2%€126.08€102.73€92.504
Dec ’23€107.00
€125.18
+17.0%
9.9%€140.11€107.38€82.505
Nov ’23€103.00
€125.18
+21.5%
9.9%€140.11€107.38€77.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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