PUMA Valuation

Is PUM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PUM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PUM (€39.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PUM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PUM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PUM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PUM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PUM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
BOSS Hugo Boss
10.5x12.6%€2.3b
BIRK Birkenstock Holding
69.4x48.4%US$8.5b
9910 Feng Tay Enterprises
23.4x11.0%NT$137.8b
SKX Skechers U.S.A
17.4x14.7%US$10.1b
PUM PUMA
22.4x17.1%€5.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PUM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the peer average (29.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PUM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PUM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PUM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PUM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€38.99
€49.71
+27.5%
22.5%€85.00€39.00n/a21
Sep ’25€39.09
€49.48
+26.6%
22.9%€85.00€39.00n/a21
Aug ’25€45.02
€54.05
+20.1%
21.4%€88.00€40.00n/a21
Jul ’25€43.69
€54.55
+24.9%
21.0%€88.00€40.00n/a21
Jun ’25€47.55
€54.55
+14.7%
21.0%€88.00€40.00n/a21
May ’25€43.54
€50.79
+16.6%
22.8%€88.00€40.00n/a21
Apr ’25€42.02
€51.02
+21.4%
23.4%€88.00€40.00n/a21
Mar ’25€41.85
€50.43
+20.5%
23.5%€88.00€40.00n/a22
Feb ’25€37.91
€53.75
+41.8%
22.5%€88.00€40.00n/a22
Jan ’25€50.52
€67.50
+33.6%
17.4%€99.00€49.00n/a22
Dec ’24€59.60
€67.32
+12.9%
17.7%€99.00€49.00n/a22
Nov ’24€53.90
€68.00
+26.2%
18.2%€99.00€49.00n/a21
Oct ’24€58.80
€70.52
+19.9%
18.0%€99.00€49.00n/a21
Sep ’24€62.16
€70.36
+13.2%
18.1%€99.00€49.00€39.0922
Aug ’24€60.64
€70.36
+16.0%
18.1%€99.00€49.00€45.0222
Jul ’24€55.12
€69.09
+25.3%
18.7%€99.00€49.00€43.6922
Jun ’24€44.39
€70.24
+58.2%
18.0%€100.00€50.00€47.5521
May ’24€52.96
€71.05
+34.2%
17.0%€100.00€50.00€43.5421
Apr ’24€56.86
€72.29
+27.1%
15.1%€100.00€50.00€42.0221
Mar ’24€56.30
€73.45
+30.5%
16.8%€100.00€47.00€41.8520
Feb ’24€61.78
€73.50
+19.0%
17.4%€96.00€47.00€37.9120
Jan ’24€56.70
€71.95
+26.9%
18.9%€96.00€47.00€50.5220
Dec ’23€50.20
€71.80
+43.0%
19.1%€96.00€47.00€59.6020
Nov ’23€46.43
€72.65
+56.5%
18.5%€96.00€47.00€53.9020
Oct ’23€47.97
€91.90
+91.6%
10.9%€115.00€72.00€58.8020
Sep ’23€59.22
€93.65
+58.1%
10.4%€115.00€72.00€62.1620

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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