Hugo Boss AG (ETR:BOSS) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

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Last week saw the newest interim earnings release from Hugo Boss AG (ETR:BOSS), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of €2.0b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 2.5% to hit €1.19 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, Hugo Boss' 15 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be €4.23b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to increase 4.1% to €3.33. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €4.25b and earnings per share (EPS) of €3.30 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Hugo Boss

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €43.67, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Hugo Boss, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €69.00 and the most bearish at €32.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 2.1% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 16% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.4% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Hugo Boss is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Hugo Boss' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €43.67, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Hugo Boss analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hugo Boss you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.