Stock Analysis

Siemens (ETR:SIE) jumps 6.8% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns

XTRA:SIE
Source: Shutterstock

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term Siemens Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:SIE) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 142% in five years. It's even up 6.8% in the last week. But this could be related to the buoyant market which is up about 4.3% in a week.

Since it's been a strong week for Siemens shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Siemens managed to grow its earnings per share at 9.7% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 19% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
XTRA:SIE Earnings Per Share Growth April 30th 2025

Dive deeper into Siemens' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Siemens's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Siemens the TSR over the last 5 years was 207%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Siemens has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 25% per year, is even more impressive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Siemens better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Siemens that you should be aware of.

We will like Siemens better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:SIE

Siemens

A technology company, focuses in the areas of automation and digitalization in Europe, Commonwealth of Independent States, Africa, the Middle East, the Americas, Asia, and Australia.

Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.

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