Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:HOT) Share Price

XTRA:HOT
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It's not a stretch to say that HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:HOT) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Germany, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent earnings growth for HOCHTIEF has been in line with the market. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this modest earnings performance will continue. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

View our latest analysis for HOCHTIEF

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:HOT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think HOCHTIEF's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

HOCHTIEF's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.0% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 32% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 13% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why HOCHTIEF is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From HOCHTIEF's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of HOCHTIEF's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for HOCHTIEF you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HOCHTIEF. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HOCHTIEF might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.