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Investors Could Be Concerned With HOCHTIEF's (ETR:HOT) Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at HOCHTIEF (ETR:HOT), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for HOCHTIEF, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.091 = €665m ÷ (€19b - €11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Thus, HOCHTIEF has an ROCE of 9.1%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 10% average generated by the Construction industry.
Check out our latest analysis for HOCHTIEF
Above you can see how the current ROCE for HOCHTIEF compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Does the ROCE Trend For HOCHTIEF Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at HOCHTIEF doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 17% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, HOCHTIEF has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 61% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Keep in mind 61% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
Our Take On HOCHTIEF's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for HOCHTIEF. However, total returns to shareholders over the last five years have been flat, which could indicate these growth trends potentially aren't accounted for yet by investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
HOCHTIEF does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HOCHTIEF that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HOCHTIEF might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HOT
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.